⚾ BaseballHobby Box2025

2025 Topps Series 1 Hobby Box

The flagship annual Topps baseball release. One auto guaranteed per hobby box. Strong rookie class with Paul Skenes, Jackson Merrill, and more.

Retail Price
$160
Expected Value
$139
ROI
-13.1%
EV Delta
$-21

Product Details

Brand
Topps
Year
2025
Format
Hobby Box
Packs per Box
24
Cards per Pack
14
Total Cards
336
Base Card Value
$8
Release Date
2025-02-12

EV Verdict

Below Average

Expected value is 13% below retail. You will need above-average pulls to break even.

* EV is based on average pull rates and current market prices. Actual results will vary. Opening sealed product is gambling — only spend what you can afford to lose.

Hit Rates & Expected Value Breakdown

Insert TypeOddsAvg ValueExpected HitsExpected $
Autograph
One guaranteed auto per hobby box
1:24 packs$251.0$25
Relic / Memorabilia
Game-used jersey or bat relic cards
1:12 packs$82.0$16
Numbered Parallel (/299 or less)
Short-printed numbered parallels
1:8 packs$123.0$36
Foil / Refractor Parallel
Standard foil or refractor parallels
1:4 packs$36.0$18
SP / SSP Base Variation
Short-print photo variations
1:10 packs$152.4$36
Base Card Value———$8
Total Expected Value$139
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