Chargeback Risk · 0-100 seller-side score · 10 signal axes · 6 red-flag toggles

Chargeback Risk Scanner

Before you drop that package in the mailbox, score the sale. The scanner weights payment platform, buyer profile, card value, off-platform pressure, photos, shipping method, destination, return policy, and prior dispute history into a 0-100 chargeback risk score with a verdict and a pre-ship hardening checklist.

Chargeback Risk Score
10
/ 100
CLEAN
Standard seller protection applies. Ship as scheduled with tracking + signature.
CleanNormalElevatedHigh
Additional red-flag toggles
Contribution breakdown
Value: $500 - $1,499+5
Prior disputes: Cannot check dispute history+5
Returns: 14-day returns+0
Feedback: 100-999 feedback-1
Photos: Multi-angle photos, major defects noted-1
Buyer age: 1-3 years old-2
Off-platform: Buyer stayed on-platform-2
Shipping: Tracked + insured, no signature-2
Destination: Domestic (same country)-3
Platform: eBay Managed Payments-4
Baseline+15
Total (clamped 0-100)10
What to do before you ship
  • \u2192Everything looks good. Standard hardening still applies: tracking + signature + packing video, retain for 180 days post-ship.
Not legal or financial advice. Chargeback outcomes depend on the platform\u2019s specific seller-protection policy, the buyer\u2019s credit-card-issuer rules, your documentation, and the timing of the dispute filing. This scanner estimates risk from public-signal heuristics; it does not guarantee any outcome.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a chargeback and how is it different from a return?▼
A return is a voluntary refund you issue within a return window you set. A chargeback is the buyer’s credit-card issuer or bank reversing the transaction against you, typically 7-120 days after sale, and almost always decided in the buyer’s favor unless you have documented proof of delivery, proof of condition, and a legitimate return process. Chargebacks also carry a $15-25 bank fee on top of the refunded amount. For sports card sellers, chargebacks are the single most common loss vector after lost-mail claims.
Why does the payment platform matter so much?▼
Because seller protection varies by an order of magnitude across platforms. eBay Managed Payments will cover authenticity and Item-Not-Received claims IF you ship with tracking and signature on items over $750. PayPal Goods & Services offers similar protection, weaker. PayPal Friends & Family, Venmo Friends & Family, and Zelle have ZERO seller protection — but the buyer’s credit-card issuer can still file a bank chargeback on the underlying card used to fund the payment, so you are not protected even on a "final" P2P transfer. Cash or in-person-verified cashier’s check are the only payment methods with zero chargeback exposure.
What is the single biggest chargeback tell?▼
A buyer who insists on paying off-platform. When a buyer says "I don’t trust PayPal, let me Zelle / Venmo / Cash App you," their usual goal is to strip your seller protection so they can file a bank chargeback without a dispute process to contend with. The less obvious version: a buyer who asks you to upgrade from eBay to a direct Stripe invoice "because of the fees." Every layer of platform stripped out is a layer of your protection stripped out. Refuse politely; real buyers accept platform fees as a cost of transacting safely.
What should I do for an ELEVATED or HIGH RISK verdict?▼
First: do not ship until conditions change. Second: offer the buyer a choice to migrate the payment to a protected platform (eBay Managed or PayPal G&S) with signature-required shipping; if they refuse, cancel and refund the original payment. Third: if you do proceed, maximize documentation — video-pack the card with a 360-degree shot of the card, the tracking label being applied, and the sealed package being handed to the carrier. Fourth: ship with signature required and adult-signature adult-only where available. Fifth: retain the video, photos, and shipping receipt for 180 days post-delivery, which is the typical chargeback filing window.
Does using a $3-5 "extra" signature-required upgrade actually help?▼
Yes. Signature confirmation is the single most effective anti-chargeback measure for hobby shipments above $250. Without signature, the buyer’s Item-Not-Received claim relies only on tracking, which shows delivery to a location but not to a person. With signature confirmation, you have documented proof that someone at the delivery address accepted the package — which is dispositive in 80%+ of INR disputes. On a $500 card, a $4 signature upgrade is 0.8% of the transaction and prevents the typical chargeback outcome of full refund + $25 fee = $525 lost.
What is the "video unboxing" the scanner mentions?▼
Some sellers ask buyers of high-value cards to record an unboxing video the moment the package arrives, showing the seal intact, the card inside the sealed condition, and any defects. This creates a mutual documentation record that limits future dispute options for both sides. Most legitimate buyers will agree. Refusal from the buyer is itself a red flag — why would someone who paid real money object to a 60-second video that protects them too? Note that video unboxing is negotiable and not something you can demand; framing it as "for both of our records" usually gets a yes.
Are international sales really that risky?▼
Most major destinations (Canada, UK, Australia, Germany, Japan) are manageable with the standard protections — signature required, tracked insured, Customs declaration with accurate value. Risk jumps for: destinations without reliable postal systems (parts of Latin America, Africa, CIS), for freight-forwarder addresses (which obscure the true recipient and strip buyer-protection in some cases), and for buyers who ask you to mark the package as "gift" to avoid customs duties — which is illegal and will void your insurance if a claim is needed. For cards over $2,000 shipping internationally, use DDP (Delivered Duty Paid) with a registered carrier and declare full value.